Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces
LV
30-13 
PHX
16-27 Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury: Betting Line, Odds & Head-to-Head Breakdown
WNBA · 2026 Season · Odds via DraftKings
As of now, this game hasn't started yet. It's scheduled for 9/24 - 10:00 PM EDT at Mortgage Matchup Center. Check back once the game is underway for live score updates.
Heading into this WNBA matchup, DraftKings lists the Las Vegas Aces as the favorite at LV -9.5, with the Phoenix Mercury sitting as the underdog on the moneyline. The point spread currently sits at 9.5, and the over/under total for the game is set at 174.5, giving an early read on how competitive, and how high-scoring, oddsmakers expect this game to be.
These two teams already know each other well this season. LV leads series 2-1, across 4 meetings so far. Head-to-head trends like this are often factored into betting lines and predictive models alike, since some matchups simply play out differently than a team's overall record would suggest.
Interestingly, the betting market and ESPN's statistical Matchup Predictor are in agreement here, both point to the Las Vegas Aces as the side more likely to come out on top, with the model putting their win probability at 66%. When the numbers and the odds line up this closely, it's usually a sign the gap between these two teams is real, not just a betting-market quirk.
That betting line lines up with what the standings show. The Las Vegas Aces currently carry a .698 win percentage on the season, compared to .372 for the Phoenix Mercury. Whether that gap on paper translates to the scoreboard is a different question entirely, standings measure a whole season, while a single game can turn on one swing, one drive, or one bad quarter.
Betting lines, like win probabilities, are a snapshot, not a forecast set in stone, and they can shift right up until the 9/24 - 10:00 PM EDT start time as injury news, weather, and public money move the market. This page will keep reflecting the latest numbers as they update, so it's worth a final check before Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury actually take the field.
Odds are for informational purposes only and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
Team Leaders
Phoenix Mercury
K. Copper
A. Thomas
A. Thomas
Las Vegas Aces
A. Wilson
J. Young
A. Wilson
Recent Form
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces
Division Standings
2025-26 Western Conference Standings
| Team | W | L | PCT | GB | STRK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota
|
32 | 11 | .744 | - | L1 |
Golden State
|
31 | 12 | .721 | 1 | L1 |
|
Las Vegas
|
30 | 13 | .698 | 2 | W6 |
Dallas
|
27 | 17 | .614 | 5.5 | W1 |
Portland
|
17 | 27 | .386 | 15.5 | W1 |
Los Angeles
|
16 | 27 | .372 | 16 | L1 |
|
Phoenix
|
16 | 27 | .372 | 16 | W1 |
Seattle
|
8 | 36 | .182 | 24.5 | L5 |
Injured Players
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | Status | Est. Return |
|---|---|---|
|
KD
|
Out | 2027-05-01 |
|
Out | 2027-05-01 |
|
JN
|
Out | 2027-05-01 |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | Status | Est. Return |
|---|---|---|
|
Out | 2026-09-27 |
|
Out | 2027-05-01 |
